Saturday, March 1, 2014

My Oscar Predictions for 2014

Okay ladies and gentlemen, it is time for me to pick my winners for this year's Oscars. This year could end up being the most surprising year we have had in a while. There are a lot of categories that are still up for grabs, including the Best Picture race. Usually, we always a frontrunner, but this year it seems like it is anyone's game. So, I have a strong feeling that some of these predictions will not go the way I was thinking. But, we will find out tomorrow night.

*My predictions are underlined and in bold.

BEST PICTURE

12 Years a Slave
American Hustle
Captain Phillips
Dallas Buyers Club
Gravity
Her
Nebraska
Philomena
The Wolf of Wall Street

So, I can't remember the last time the Best Picture race was so crazy. Right now, it seems like the race is between two films: Gravity and 12 Years a Slave. But, do not count out American Hustle. The film has a lot of support in Hollywood. I do believe it was good film, but I do not it should win at all. Russell's previous nominated film Silver Linings Playbook was definitely a more deserving film. My pick, though, at the moment is 12 Years a Slave. Gravity is a visual masterpiece and it deserves every technical award it will receive on Oscar night, but I feel that 12 Years a Slave is the more deserving film and a better overall film than Gravity. If I was voting, though, I would have voted for Her. But, my vote doesn't matter, so I'm going with 12 Years a Slave

BEST DIRECTOR

Alexander Payne for Nebraska
Alfonso Cuaron for Gravity
David O. Russell for American Hustle
Martin Scorsese for The Wolf of Wall Street
Steve McQueen for 12 Years a Slave

I think Cuaron deserves the award because of the challenging process of creating the world for Gravity. I think this is an easy pick and this is category that could really help Gravity win Best Picture. But, I think the Academy is going to spread the wealth this year.

BEST ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE

Bruce Dern for Nebraska
Chiwetel Ejiofor for 12 Years a Slave
Christian Bale for American Hustle
Leonardo DiCaprio for The Wolf of Wall Street
Matthew McConaughey for Dallas Buyers Club

Early on in the Oscar race it seemed like the battle was going to be between Chiwetel Ejiofor and Tom Hanks for Captain Phillips. Months later, though, Ejiofor is no longer the frontrunner and Tom Hanks did not even gain a nomination (which I am still upset about by the way). Now, Matthew McConaughey has made his way from being the actor who wasn't going to get a nomination to the frontrunner. He has taken most of the major awards so far and he has had some amazing work within the past year, including True Detective (which could really help him win), The Wolf of Wall Street, Mud, and a number of other films. Some people still argue that McConaughey should have been nominated for Best Supporting Actor last year for Magic Mike. If McConaughey wins this year it will be an award that is not just going to his amazing work in Dallas Buyers Club, but all of his performances for the entire McConaissance. The Academy does not judge just one performance. If they did then Eddie Murphy would have won a number of years back when he was nominated for Dreamgirls. But, he released Norbit during the month of the Oscars and in turn he lost his possible Oscar. Also, watch out for DiCaprio. He has been getting a big push lately and he could be a spoiler here.

BEST ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE

Amy Adams for American Hustle
Cate Blanchett for Blue Jasmine
Judi Dench for Philomena
Meryl Streep for August: Osange County
Sandra Bullock for Gravity

It should be Cate Blanchett plain and simple. Amy Adams is apparently getting a push, so that makes her the spoiler here in this category (even though I feel Emma Thompson should have been nominated over Adams). But, I'm just going to be honest, Blanchett gave the best performance by any actress last year. Sandra Bullock did a phenomenal job as well being is she pretty much carried the movie, but I don't think she will pull a win out of this. But, never count out Streep and Dench.

BEST ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE

Barkhad Abdi for Captain Phillips
Bradley Cooper for American Hustle
Jared Leto for Dallas Buyers Club
Jonah Hill for The Wolf of Wall Street
Michael Fassbender for 12 Years a Slave

Leto is the frontrunner in this race it seems. He has taken home most of the major awards so far. His performance is great and it is overshadowing some great performances from Michael Fassbender and the newcomer Barkhad Abdi. But, I feel that Leto is the one who will take home the Oscar.

BEST ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE

Lupita Nyong'o for 12 Years a Slave
Jennifer Lawrence for American Hustle
Julia Roberts for August: Osage County
June Squibb for Nebraska
Sally Hawkins for Blue Jasmine

It looks like this is a two woman race between Nyong'o and Lawrence. I'm leaning toward Nyong'o for two reasons. First, she gives a great performance in 12 Years a Slave. Secondly, Lawrence won an Oscar last year and she doesn't give a good enough performance to get another one a year later. Is it a good performance? Yes, I do believe so and she deserved a nomination, but it isn't good enough to win. And, if it weren't for either of them June Squibb would probably be taking it home of her hilarious performance in Nebraska

BEST SCREENPLAY- ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

American Hustle
Blue Jasmine
Dallas Buyers Club
Her
Nebraska

BEST SCREENPLAY- ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

Before Midnight
Captain Phillips
Philomena
12 Years a Slave
The Wolf of Wall Street

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE FILM

The Croods
Despicable Me 2
Ernest & Celestine
Frozen
The Wind Rises

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM

The Broken Circle Breakdown
The Great Beauty
The Hunt
The Missing Picture
Omar

BEST DOCUMENTARY- FEATURE

20 Feet from Stardom
The Act of Killing 
Cutie and the Boxer
Dirty Wars
The Square

BEST DOCUMENTARY- SHORT SUBJECT

CaveDigger
Facing Fear
Karama Has No Walls
The Lady in Number 6: Music Saved My Life
Prison Terminal: The Last Days of Private Jack Hall

BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT FILM

Aquel no era yo
Avant que de tout perdre
Helium
Pitaako mun kaikki hoitaa? 
The Voorman Problem

BEST ANIMATED SHORT FILM

Feral
Get a Horse!
Mr. Hublot
Possessions
Room on the Broom

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

The Book Thief
Gravity
Her
Philomena
Saving Mr. Banks

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

"Happy" from Despicable Me 2
"Let It Go" from Frozen
"The Moon Song" from Her
"Ordinary Love" from Mandela: Long Walk Home

BEST SOUND EDITING

All is Lost
Captain Phillips
Gravity
The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug
Lone Survivor 

BEST SOUND MIXING

Captain Phillips
Gravity 
The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug
Inside Llewyn Davis
Lone Survivor 

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

American Hustle
Gravity
The Great Gatsby
Her 
12 Years a Slave

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

The Grandmaster
Gravity
Inside Llewyn Davis
Nebraska 
Prisoners

BEST FILM EDITING

American Hustle
Captain Phillips 
Dallas Buyers Club
Gravity
12 Years a Slave

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

Gravity
The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug
Iron Man 3
The Lone Ranger
Star Trek Into Darkness

BEST COSTUME DESIGN

American Hustle
The Grandmaster
The Great Gatsby
The Invisible Woman
12 Years a Slave

BEST MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING

Dallas Buyers Club
Jackass Presents: Bad Grandpa (It would be kind of awesome if this won though)
The Lone Ranger

So, there are my picks for this year. Comment below if you disagree with any of these. Make sure that you make your predictions here: http://bit.ly/1hiGIOP

2 comments:

  1. Man I really hope you're right about 12 Years a Slave for Best Picture and Lupita! Great list Brandon! :)

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  2. Yes, it will be interesting. I think the Best Picture race is tougher to call then the Best Supporting Actress race. If it was anyone else in Lawrence's role for "American Hustle" then they probably wouldn't even be talked about I feel. Now, I like the entire cast of "American Hustle". I love their work overall, but I do not feel they should win any Oscars tonight.

    For 12 Years, I feel that it is a better overall film, especially with story. In my opinion, if you cannot be nominated for Best Screenplay then I feel it is harder to argue that the film should win Best Picture. That's what happened to Avatar when it went agains The Hurt Locker.

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